九龍站發展權收回的聯想

機 鐵 九 龍 站 招 標 ， 雖 有 三 個 地 產 商 入 標 ， 但 政 府 最 後 以 入 標 條 件 不 理 想 決 定 收 回 ， 這 件 事 令 市 場 多 少 有 點 錯 愕 。 有 人 甚 至 擔 心 ， 這 將 對 已 經 乏 力 的 樓 市 帶 來 沉 重 的 打 擊 ， 令 樓 價 進 一 步 回 落 。 由 於 地 產 商 入 標 的 條 件 不 會 公 開 ， 故 無 從 評 價 這 些 條 件 是 否 不 理 想 ， 但 人 們 起 碼 會 感 覺 到 ， 政 府 這 次 的 取 態 與 去 年 有 很 大 的 不 同 。 去 年 廣 東 道 與 馬 鞍 山 兩 塊 地 招 標 時 ， 地 產 商 出 價 何 嘗 理 想 ？ 簡 直 低 得 毫 無 誠 意 ， 令 市 民 聽 見 也 大 吃 一 驚 ， 但 政 府 一 樣 讓 發 展 商 “ 執 死 雞 ” 。 今 年 地 產 商 的 出 價 ， 怎 也 不 可 能 比 去 年 那 個 地 產 商 出 的 更 低 ， 為 什 麼 去 年 可 以 不 理 底 價 ？ 只 簡 單 地 按 價 高 者 得 的 原 則 辦 事 。 政 府 宜 為 這 樣 的 做 法 作 進 一 步 解 釋 ， 否 則 人 們 一 定 會 認 為 政 府 偏 袒 去 年 那 個 地 產 商 ， 而 對 其 他 的 發 展 商 不 公 平 。 
如 果 政 府 今 次 這 樣 做 並 無 偏 私 的 動 機 ， 這 件 事 亦 可 反 映 政 府 的 賣 地 政 策 及 對 後 市 的 估 計 已 有 根 本 的 變 化 。 
在 政 府 設 賣 地 底 價 時 代 ， 輿 論 常 攻 擊 政 府 高 地 價 政 策 ， 不 到 價 不 賣 ， 刻 意 托 高 地 價 。 輿 論 的 見 解 是 政 府 該 以 市 價 賣 地 ， 當 其 時 市 場 上 最 高 出 什 麼 價 ， 就 該 以 這 個 價 賣 出 去 ， 而 底 價 只 屬 官 員 的 主 觀 判 斷 ， 不 可 作 準 。 但 去 年 政 府 平 價 賣 出 兩 塊 土 地 後 ， 又 給 差 不 多 同 一 批 政 黨 及 媒 體 攻 擊 ， 說 政 府 刻 意 優 惠 發 展 商 ， 把 市 民 寶 貴 的 土 地 資 源 斷 送 了 ， 未 為 市 民 爭 取 合 理 代 價 ， 並 攻 擊 官 員 毫 無 判 斷 力 ， 過 去 他 們 不 是 不 喜 歡 官 員 作 主 觀 判 斷 的 嗎 ？ 
我 自 己 的 觀 點 是 ， 官 員 當 然 要 敢 於 作 主 觀 判 斷 ， 否 則 何 需 他 來 做 官 ， 既 做 了 判 斷 ， 就 要 敢 於 面 對 挑 戰 ， 在 未 被 證 明 是 作 錯 決 定 前 堅 定 地 維 護 自 己 的 判 斷 。 當 然 ， 一 旦 自 己 的 判 斷 被 事 實 證 明 出 錯 時 ， 又 要 坦 誠 接 受 批 評 ， 總 結 經 驗 ， 勇 於 改 正 錯 誤 ， 以 求 下 次 可 以 做 得 更 好 。 所 以 ， 我 一 向 支 持 政 府 賣 地 要 設 底 價 ， 出 價 不 理 想 時 寧 願 收 回 ， 等 更 好 的 時 機 再 賣 。 
如 果 這 確 是 今 天 政 府 的 賣 地 政 策 ， 就 不 被 視 作 是 一 項 不 利 消 息 ， 起 碼 今 後 市 場 無 需 再 面 對 去 年 那 樣 政 府 賤 價 賣 地 的 衝 擊 。 這 顯 示 政 府 已 明 白 有 需 要 協 助 樓 價 維 持 在 某 一 水 平 ， 這 不 是 萬 惡 不 赦 的 高 地 價 政 策 ， 而 是 穩 定 經 濟 環 境 所 必 須 。 政 府 某 一 種 程 度 恢 復 高 地 價 政 策 ， 對 增 加 投 資 地 產 的 吸 引 力 很 有 幫 助 ， 過 去 樓 價 大 幅 下 跌 ， 在 某 一 個 程 度 來 說 ， 就 是 因 為 政 府 放 棄 高 地 價 所 至 。 現 在 政 府 在 這 方 面 作 了 修 正 ， 長 遠 來 說 應 視 作 利 好 消 息 ， 而 非 利 淡 消 息 。 
另 一 方 面 ， 政 府 收 回 九 龍 站 發 展 權 正 好 證 明 ： 政 府 看 好 後 市 ， 認 為 今 後 一 定 有 機 會 賣 得 更 好 價 錢 。 政 府 這 種 取 態 ， 不 單 表 現 在 今 次 收 回 九 龍 站 上 ， 在 很 多 補 地 價 的 談 判 中 ， 政 府 也 已 全 面 反 價 。 凡 是 上 次 在 低 價 時 沒 有 接 受 邀 約 的 ， 現 在 都 不 再 給 予 同 樣 機 會 ， 而 必 須 按 新 的 市 道 環 境 重 新 談 判 。 很 多 發 展 商 已 後 悔 上 次 沒 有 接 受 邀 約 ， 而 不 得 不 接 受 較 高 的 補 地 價 了 。 這 些 都 顯 示 ， 香 港 的 地 價 已 見 底 回 升 了 。 故 不 宜 把 這 次 事 件 完 全 看 作 負 面 。