政府有需要亦有能力調節樓市

土 地 資 源 是 一 個 國 家 的 主 要 資 源 ， 任 何 政 府 都 以 管 理 好 土 地 資 源 作 為 政 府 的 主 要 責 任 。 政 府 的 土 地 政 策 無 可 避 免 會 影 響 房 地 產 市 場 的 走 勢 ， 因 此 政 府 無 需 去 刻 意 否 認 它 的 某 些 具 體 政 策 有 托 市 或 壓 市 作 用 ， 政 府 需 要 澄 清 的 ， 只 是 這 些 政 策 為 何 要 在 這 個 時 候 推 出 ， 它 對 社 會 有 什 麼 整 體 上 的 好 處 。 九 六 、 九 七 期 間 ， 香 港 樓 價 過 高 ， 政 府 自 然 需 要 遏 抑 炒 風 ， 防 止 資 源 過 份 集 中 流 入 地 產 市 場 。 然 而 ， 今 天 樓 市 的 處 境 已 與 九 七 年 全 不 一 樣 ， 政 府 不 可 能 沿 用 過 時 的 政 策 不 變 。 近 年 樓 價 的 持 續 下 滑 ， 已 對 整 個 社 會 造 成 強 大 的 破 壞 力 ， 大 量 中 產 階 級 變 成 負 資 產 ， 社 會 情 緒 低 落 ， 內 部 需 求 疲 弱 ， 消 費 行 業 蕭 條 ， 失 業 率 高 企 。 在 這 樣 的 情 勢 下 ， 政 府 調 整 房 屋 政 策 以 減 少 樓 市 下 滑 的 破 壞 力 應 是 符 合 社 會 的 整 體 利 益 的 。 
有 人 認 為 ， 樓 市 好 不 好 應 由 社 會 的 經 濟 環 境 決 定 ， 政 府 不 應 去 干 預 ， 也 無 力 去 干 預 。 這 個 意 見 基 本 上 不 錯 。 長 遠 來 說 ， 當 然 是 經 濟 帶 動 樓 市 ， 不 可 能 單 靠 樓 市 去 推 動 經 濟 ， 但 樓 市 對 經 濟 有 重 大 影 響 亦 是 無 可 否 認 的 。 因 此 ， 政 府 調 整 房 地 產 政 策 去 讓 經 濟 可 以 更 順 暢 地 發 展 也 是 有 需 要 的 ， 總 不 能 要 求 政 府 的 房 屋 政 策 不 因 新 的 環 境 而 作 調 整 。 
至 於 政 府 的 政 策 能 否 有 效 的 問 題 ， 應 看 政 府 推 出 的 是 什 麼 政 策 ， 及 看 政 府 會 用 多 大 的 力 度 去 推 行 這 些 政 策 。 現 在 政 府 的 政 策 尚 未 推 出 ， 有 傳 媒 已 判 斷 它 必 然 失 敗 ， 說 得 如 此 肯 定 就 近 乎 武 斷 。 
九 八 年 ， 政 府 為 挽 救 聯 系 匯 率 ， 在 自 己 一 向 沒 有 參 與 亦 不 太 熟 悉 的 股 票 市 場 出 擊 ， 亦 可 一 樣 有 所 成 效 ， 更 何 況 要 在 自 己 控 制 大 局 的 房 地 產 市 場 去 有 所 行 動 呢 ？ 
香 港 政 府 控 制 香 港 所 有 的 土 地 供 應 ， 流 落 民 間 的 農 地 及 舊 屋 ， 要 發 展 也 要 過 城 市 規 劃 一 關 ， 再 者 ， 整 個 房 地 產 市 場 的 遊 戲 規 則 都 由 政 府 制 定 ， 政 府 在 房 地 產 市 場 的 影 響 力 可 謂 無 遠 弗 屆 。 從 總 建 屋 量 來 看 ， 過 去 所 謂 八 萬 五 ， 亦 是 五 萬 公 營 ， 三 萬 五 私 營 ， 足 見 政 府 的 行 為 其 影 響 力 遠 比 私 人 市 場 大 。 一 個 這 麼 大 的 市 場 參 與 者 ， 怎 可 能 對 市 場 毫 無 影 響 力 ， 說 政 府 企 圖 穩 定 樓 市 必 定 失 敗 的 人 可 謂 對 香 港 樓 市 的 實 情 亦 不 認 識 。 
我 認 為 政 府 如 果 有 心 做 的 話 ， 一 定 會 有 所 成 效 。 這 種 成 效 並 不 是 說 可 使 樓 市 在 經 濟 不 景 時 重 上 上 升 軌 ， 但 卻 可 以 令 樓 市 的 下 滑 不 至 遠 超 經 濟 衰 退 的 程 度 ， 減 少 樓 市 下 滑 所 產 生 的 負 面 互 動 作 用 ， 能 做 到 這 一 點 的 話 ， 對 整 個 社 會 都 有 好 處 。 
有 人 說 ， 政 府 這 樣 做 最 得 益 的 是 地 產 商 。 無 可 否 認 ， 這 些 政 策 對 地 產 商 會 有 很 大 的 好 處 ， 但 它 同 樣 對 社 會 其 他 層 面 的 人 一 樣 有 好 處 。 我 們 不 能 因 為 不 喜 歡 地 產 商 而 要 社 會 上 其 他 人 去 陪 地 產 商 一 齊 死 。 況 且 地 產 商 大 部 分 資 本 雄 厚 ， 他 們 最 多 無 錢 賺 要 蝕 本 而 已 ， 但 社 會 上 的 其 他 人 則 可 能 真 的 要 走 投 無 路 燒 炭 自 殺 ， 弄 到 家 散 人 亡 呢 ？ 香 港 是 資 本 主 義 社 會 ， 整 天 望 資 本 家 無 路 行 很 不 切 實 際 。 老 闆 確 是 衰 人 的 多 ， 但 老 闆 死 ， 工 人 一 定 更 慘 。 等 工 運 領 袖 去 辦 合 作 社 、 開 茶 餐 廳 ， 聘 請 不 了 多 少 工 人 ， 社 會 經 濟 亦 興 旺 不 起 來 。 要 香 港 好 起 來 ， 望 資 本 家 發 達 好 過 望 資 本 家 P. K.