月入二萬五可買樓嗎?

房 委 會 有 意 把 申 請 居 屋 的 家 庭 入 息 上 限 由 月 入 三 萬 一 千 元 調 低 至 月 入 二 萬 五 千 元 。 傳 媒 為 此 訪 問 了 個 別 可 能 因 此 而 失 去 買 居 屋 資 格 的 家 庭 , 讓 他 們 控 訴 這 項 政 策 的 不 是 。 不 難 明 白 他 們 是 這 項 政 策 的 直 接 受 害 者 , 他 們 失 去 了 買 居 屋 的 福 利 優 惠 , 被 逼 去 買 相 對 昂 貴 近 倍 的 私 人 樓 宇 , 當 然 會 影 響 可 支 配 用 在 生 活 其 他 方 面 的 開 支 , 在 相 當 的 情 度 上 降 低 了 家 庭 生 活 的 質 素 , 他 們 怎 不 口 出 怨 言 。 有 些 甚 至 說 , 以 他 們 的 收 入 水 平 根 本 買 不 起 私 人 樓 , 這 項 政 策 剝 奪 了 他 們 自 置 居 所 的 機 會 。 有 政 黨 亦 藉 此 攻 擊 政 府 向 地 產 商 屈 服 , 不 惜 犧 牲 小 市 民 的 置 業 機 會 , 去 托 市 助 地 產 商 賣 樓 。 
我 覺 得 這 種 言 論 很 不 理 性 。 每 項 新 的 政 策 都 涉 及 社 會 利 益 的 重 新 分 配 , 自 不 然 有 得 益 者 和 受 害 者 , 要 感 性 地 讓 個 別 受 害 者 訴 說 他 們 的 具 體 苦 況 絕 不 難 , 但 絕 不 足 以 否 定 整 項 政 策 。 如 果 任 何 會 有 受 害 者 的 政 策 都 是 不 應 該 的 話 , 那 任 何 改 革 以 至 調 整 都 無 法 推 行 , 社 會 只 可 能 一 錯 到 底 , 讓 不 合 理 的 政 策 永 無 修 改 的 機 會 , 令 整 體 社 會 都 受 到 傷 害 。 
我 覺 得 要 衡 量 這 項 政 策 是 否 合 理 , 不 能 只 看 地 產 商 是 否 支 持 這 項 政 策 , 不 能 因 人 廢 言 , 因 為 地 產 商 乞 人 憎 , 凡 是 對 他 們 有 利 的 , 市 民 就 應 該 反 對 。 看 居 屋 的 入 息 上 限 應 否 調 低 , 應 著 於 設 立 居 屋 的 原 有 目 標 , 檢 討 這 項 政 策 是 否 符 合 這 個 目 標 。 
居 屋 的 設 立 是 要 幫 助 那 些 既 沒 有 資 格 申 請 公 屋 , 也 沒 有 能 力 買 私 人 樓 宇 的 人 , 去 自 置 居 所 。 因 此 , 要 看 調 低 入 息 上 限 的 政 策 是 否 合 理 的 關 鍵 , 是 要 看 這 樣 入 息 的 家 庭 是 否 有 能 力 在 私 人 市 場 可 以 買 得 到 樓 。 
自 金 融 風 暴 以 來 , 樓 價 下 跌 了 一 半 有 多 , 很 多 以 前 買 不 起 私 人 樓 宇 的 人 現 今 已 買 得 起 , 因 此 要 檢 討 居 屋 的 入 息 上 限 是 絕 對 不 會 錯 的 , 問 題 是 二 萬 五 這 條 界 線 有 沒 有 劃 錯 。 
月 入 二 萬 五 的 家 庭 , 銀 行 會 願 意 以 入 息 的 40%去 供 樓 作 貸 款 的 基 礎 , 即 月 供 一 萬 元 。 以 目 前 的 貸 款 利 率 計 , 月 供 一 萬 元 的 能 力 可 貸 款 一 百 三 十 六 萬 , 如 以 七 成 貸 款 計 , 可 買 一 百 九 十 五 萬 的 樓 宇 。 能 以 這 個 銀 碼 買 樓 , 市 區 可 以 買 六 百 呎 的 單 位 , 新 界 可 以 買 八 百 呎 的 單 位 , 已 超 越 一 般 上 車 盤 的 水 平 。 所 以 這 條 界 線 不 是 劃 得 太 低 而 是 有 點 偏 高 。 
現 時 私 人 市 場 的 成 交 有 一 半 是 在 這 個 銀 碼 以 下 的 , 所 以 月 入 二 萬 五 千 元 的 家 庭 已 有 機 會 買 一 些 中 型 的 樓 宇 , 環 境 已 經 比 很 多 以 前 買 了 上 車 盤 的 小 業 主 好 了 , 要 他 們 自 己 去 買 樓 不 可 說 是 苛 政 。