新移民增，福利化改

近 十 多 年 來 ， 由 於 香 港 社 會 漸 趨 富 裕 ， 社 會 上 福 利 主 義 的 思 潮 越 發 蔓 延 。 社 會 上 常 有 呼 聲 ， 要 求 政 府 派 發 更 多 的 免 費 午 餐 ， 以 讓 低 下 層 也 可 以 過 更 好 的 生 活 。 我 亦 認 同 ， 現 時 世 界 的 財 富 分 配 方 式 並 不 完 美 ， 但 卻 擔 心 利 用 行 政 手 段 強 行 重 新 分 配 （ 用 稅 收 去 搞 福 利 ） 會 打 擊 創 富 的 積 極 性 ， 最 終 令 人 類 的 整 體 生 活 更 難 改 善 。 因 此 ， 我 一 向 只 贊 成 政 府 只 需 負 責 減 輕 不 幸 者 的 痛 苦 ， 而 無 需 要 為 他 們 謀 幸 福 ， 即 解  他 們 的 溫 飽 問 題 ， 有 瓦 遮 頭 就 夠 了 。 但 近 年 有 些 論 調 卻 認 為 這 還 不 夠 ， 應 讓 他 們 也 可 以 過 有 體 面 的 生 活 ， 即 有 時 可 看 看 大 戲 ， 有 一 定 的 社 交 娛 樂 。 我 並 不 是 說 無 需 要 讓 他 們 有 社 交 娛 樂 ， 但 首 先 應 由 他 們 自 己 去 爭 取 ， 再 不 然 也 只 能 透 過 善 長 仁 翁 自 願 地 去 捐 助 ， 不 宜 透 過 行 政 立 法 的 手 段 逼 全 民 一 起 去 搞 這 樣 的 福 利 。 
這 種 傾 向 很 危 險 ， 尤 其 在 民 主 社 會 ， 當 免 費 午 餐 的 派 發 對 象 增 加 到 一 定 的 程 度 時 ， 就 一 定 會 得 到 選 民 及 政 黨 的 支 持 ， 呼 聲 越 來 越 高 。 結 果 是 社 會 上 期 求 福 利 照 顧 的 人 越 來 越 多 ， 創 造 財 富 的 積 極 性 越 來 越 低 ， 因 為 不 去 創 造 也 有 得 分 ， 努 力 工 作 所 得 卻 要 分 給 不 努 力 的 人 。 歐 美 國 家 曾 經 行 過 這 條 路 ， 現 在 大 都 已 痛 定 思 痛 ， 想 走 回 頭 路 ， 但 香 港 卻 急 不 及 待 想 重 蹈 覆 轍 。 
大 量 大 陸 新 移 民 來 港 ， 會 逼 令 香 港 人 重 新 去 檢 討 我 們 福 利 政 策 的 方 向 。 因 為 多 了 這 批 更 需 要 照 顧 的 人 ， 原 本 福 利 政 策 下 的 收 益 者 ， 可 能 變 成 提 供 福 利 的 承 擔 者 ， 令 他 們 對 福 利 政 策 的 取 態 完 全 改 變 。 我 估 計 很 多 政 黨 為 了 取 悅 這 些 選 民 很 快 亦 會 轉 呔 ， 新 移 民 暫 時 未 有 投 票 權 ， 政 黨 不 一 定 肯 太 早 為 他 們 付 出 代 價 。 民 主 黨 在 港 人 在 大 陸 子 女 來 港 的 取 態 上 ， 就 一 改 他 們 以 人 權 為 標 榜 的 立 場 ， 改 為 把 注 意 力 集 中 在 維 護 司 法 獨 立 上 ， 反 映 政 黨 亦 會 礙 於 民 意 ， 漸 漸 轉 呔 。 
我 估 計 ， 經 此 一 役 ， 港 人 對 福 利 主 義 的 傾 向 將 更 為 警 惕 ， 以 免 費 午 餐 去 賄 賂 選 民 的 能 力 將 大 大 降 低 。 故 大 量 大 陸 新 移 民 來 港 也 有 一 個 好 處 ， 就 是 扭 轉 了 香 港 福 利 主 義 的 傾 向 。 
事 實 上 ， 當 經 濟 出 現 負 增 長 ， 而 需 要 福 利 照 顧 的 人 大 增 時 ， 每 人 分 享 到 的 福 利 必 然 會 減 少 ， 因 此 人 均 綜 緩 額 要 降 低 是 無 可 避 免 的 了 。 另 一 方 面 ， 亦 只 有 透 過 減 少 福 利 ， 才 能 逼 使 新 移 民 考 慮 清 楚 ， 是 否 有 能 力 在 港 獨 立 生 活 ， 否 則 來 到 香 港 ， 生 活 可 能 比 大 陸 更 苦 。 對 於 那 些 已 來 了 香 港 的 新 移 民 來 說 ， 減 少 福 利 上 的 照 顧 反 而 有 助 促 使 他 們 自 力 更 生 ， 這 樣 才 能 有 助 於 本 港 生 產 力 的 提 高 ， 而 不 至 令 新 移 民 成 了 我 們 的 經 濟 負 荷 。