減差餉不如大抽獎

昨 晚 在 一 個 飯 局 上 與 某 高 官 談 及 如 何 刺 激 市 場 需 求 問 題 , 我 半 講 笑 半 認 真 地 說 : 如 果 要 說 實 際 效 應 , 減 差 餉 能 刺 激 出 來 的 需 求 當 不 如 由 政 府 搞 大 抽 獎 。 此 話 何 解 ? 在 不 景 氣 的 氣 氛 籠 罩 下 , 人 們 對 前 景 都 充 滿 憂 慮 , 會 傾 向 儲 存 多 一 些 近 身 錢 以 防 不 時 之 需 , 給 他 們 一 點 小 優 小 惠 , 他 們 不 一 定 會 拿 來 消 費 , 錢 不 一 定 會 流 出 市 場 , 產 生 乘 數 效 應 。 
減 差 餉 的 好 處 是 普 及 面 闊 , 差 不 多 人 人 有 份 , 但 它 的 不 好 的 地 方 是 分 得 太 薄 , 每 人 分 得 落 袋 的 數 目 不 多 , 平 均 每 戶 可 能 只 得 一 千 幾 百 元 , 對 人 們 的 境 況 不 會 有 什 麼 實 質 的 改 變 , 很 難 想 像 人 們 會 因 為 收 了 這 少 許 錢 而 多 加 消 費 。 
然 而 , 如 果 政 府 有 膽 把 這 筆 原 本 打 算 用 作 減 免 差 餉 的 錢 , 改 作 用 來 搞 全 民 大 抽 獎 , 效 果 一 定 更 好 。 
少 收 差 餉 的 錢 數 以 十 億 計 , 假 如 中 獎 者 起 碼 可 得 十 萬 元 計 , 也 有 過 萬 個 得 獎 者 。 突 然 間 多 了 十 萬 元 與 突 然 間 多 了 千 幾 元 , 其 效 應 完 全 不 同 , 一 種 是 發 了 橫 財 的 感 覺 , 一 種 只 是 濕 濕 碎 的 感 覺 。 發 了 橫 財 可 能 會 買 點 小 禮 物 給 自 己 的 親 人 , 為 自 己 添 置 一 部 最 新 的 DVD 機 , 朋 友 知 曉 後 也 會 要 求 請 食 飯 , 總 得 拿 一 部 分 出 來 花 一 下 , 那 得 益 的 人 就 會 擴 散 出 去 。 
另 一 方 面 , 既 然 可 以 有 過 萬 個 得 獎 者 , 不 需 一 次 抽 , 可 分 十 二 次 , 每 月 一 次 , 每 次 也 有 千 多 個 , 數 目 不 算 少 , 起 碼 可 以 引 起 人 們 的 期 望 。 在 經 濟 不 景 的 時 候 , 人 們 最 需 要 的 就 是 希 望 , 而 偏 偏 就 是 在 這 個 時 候 , 政 府 不 容 找 到 門 徑 可 以 做 些 引 致 人 們 有 希 望 的 事 情 , 與 其 不 斷 給 人 埋 怨 政 府 無 能 , 不 如 每 月 都 搞 大 抽 獎 , 十 八 歲 以 上 , 有 身 份 證 的 人 人 有 份 , 使 大 家 每 月 都 有 一 個 希 望 。 
我 見 最 近 政 府 搞 了 一 些 跳 蚤 市 場 , 但 多 數 搞 得 不 成 功 , 沒 有 新 綽 頭 , 怎 能 吸 引 人 來 。 我 建 議 大 抽 獎 可 分 區 在 商 場 或 跳 蚤 市 場 進 行 , 抽 獎 日 順 便 搞 嘉 年 華 會 , 邀 請 想 暴 光 的 影 視 歌 星 免 費 助 興 , 即 抽 獎 、 即 派 錢 、 即 消 費 , 必 起 旺 場 之 效 。 抽 不 中 者 下 個 月 還 有 希 望 , 可 能 也 會 跟 人 家 一 起 消 費 , 對 刺 激 市 場 需 求 的 幫 助 會 好 過 簡 單 地 減 免 部 分 差 餉 。